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Zhu S P, Wang L Y, Yan M L, Luo C Q, Wang Q Y. Fatigue life prediction and reliability analysis: Mechanism and data-driven, deterministic and stochastic methods. Advances in Mechanics, in press doi: 10.6052/1000-0992-26-016
Citation: Zhu S P, Wang L Y, Yan M L, Luo C Q, Wang Q Y. Fatigue life prediction and reliability analysis: Mechanism and data-driven, deterministic and stochastic methods. Advances in Mechanics, in press doi: 10.6052/1000-0992-26-016

Fatigue life prediction and reliability analysis: Mechanism and data-driven, deterministic and stochastic methods

doi: 10.6052/1000-0992-26-016 cstr: 32046.14.1000-0992-26-016
Funds:  Supported by Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 12232004), Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. ZYGX2024Z013).
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  • Fatigue life prediction and reliability analysis are crucial for ensuring the long-term safety of major equipment in service. Traditional research paradigms mainly rely on expert experience, mechanism modeling, and classical statistical analysis methods. However, due to an insufficient understanding for fatigue failure behavior, traditional research paradigms are hard to guarantee accurate predictions when modeling complex fatigue damage evolution. Represented by machine learning (ML), data-driven methods have shown great potential in fatigue life prediction and reliability analysis due to excellent nonlinear fitting capabilities. The limitation of small sample fatigue dataset and the inherent data-driven nature of ML models limit the generalization performance of ML, making them difficult to meet the safety assessment requirements for long-term service. The physics-informed machine learning (PIML) framework offers a novel modeling paradigm for fatigue life prediction and reliability analysis, driven by failure mechanisms and fatigue data. While retaining the powerful fitting capabilities of ML models, it could ensure the physical consistency of the PIML framework. This study comprehensively outlines the mechanism and data-driven methods for fatigue life prediction and reliability analysis, and discusses the extensions and applications from deterministic life prediction to reliability analysis in detail. This study systematically summarizes different modeling paradigms to embed prior physical knowledge into ML, and deeply analyzes the advantages of different modeling strategies. For the application range, the performance and applicable boundaries are clarified, including computational efficiency, interpretability, and generalization performance. Finally, the limitations of current fatigue life prediction and reliability analysis methods are systematically summarized to highlight potential development directions for creating advanced prediction models that ensure the service safety and structural integrity of major engineering equipment.

     

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